August Real Estate Sales Numbers…More Good News…

      Although August 2008 brought only $215,369,442 in sales as compared with July which showed $240,837,426 in sales, more than a 35 million decline, the numbers this month indicate that the Tucson market is reacting to the numbers of foreclosures and short sales, but is continuing to stabilize.

    The average sales price declined another 6.42% month over month, and is now $238,504.   The average sales price in July was $254,854.   At the peak in March 2006, the average sales price was $281,819.

     Likewise the median salesprice also declined 7.45% from $199,900 in July to $185,000 in August.  For  people thinking about entering the market as a buyer, this may be an excellent time.   The high median sales price of $226,465 occurred in November 2005.

      The number of active listings in multiple listing declined 1.43% from 7,876  units in July to 7,763 units in August.  This is a level seen last in March 2006 when 7,577 properties were on the market.  At the high point of inventory there were more than 10,300 properties on the market.

     Pending contracts declined 8.54% from 960 in July to 878 in August.  This goes back to levels of January 2001 and may reflect heistancy on the part of buyers who may have been waiting for intervention of the federal government and the interpretation of the Housing Bill.  Interest rates have once again declined with the government take over of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

      There was a rise in new listings from 1679 in July to 1,952 in Agust, an increase of 16.26%.  Still this number reaches back to January 2005 levels when 1947 new listings came on the market.  With the exception of December when new listings dramatically fall, from that point in 2005, the numbers of new listings continued to soar to nearly 3500 at the peak in January 2007. 

        The number of properties sold declined 4.44% month over month with 903 sold in August and 945 sold in July.   Sellers appear to be pricing their properties to the market since only 545 properties expired; the listing  period endeed and the property did not sell.  This is down from 813 in January. 

       Properties are staying on the market an average of 77 days, down one day from July at 78.  Days on the market in July-August 2005 were a low of 25 days.  Properties at the higher price end though are staying on the market longer periods of time.

       The following chart shows the numbers of active properties for sale in each zip code within the Tucson Multiple Listing Service, the number of properties sold within each zip code during August, and the percentage of properties sold during the month.

Zip Active Sold   % of Active Properties Sold
           
85601 10 0   0.00%  
           
85614 352 23   6.53%  
           
65619 11 0   0.00%  
           
85629 227 21   9.25%  
           
85641 354 38   10.73%  
           
85653 255 26   10.20%  
           
85658 135 5   3.70%  
           
85701 48 3   6.25%  
           
85704 225 29   12.89%  
           
85705 198 27   13.64%  
           
85706 386 59   15.28%  
           
85710 301 42   13.95%  
           
85711 196 29   14.80%  
           
85712 205 15   7.32%  
           
85713 316 24   7.59%  
           
85714 54 7   12.96%  
           
85715 164 14   8.54%  
           
85716 170 28   16.47%  
           
85718 408 30   7.35%  
           
85719 199 37   18.59%  
           
85730 207 30   14.49%  
           
85735 92 10   10.87%  
           
85736 63 4   6.35%  
           
85737 277 34   12.27%  
           
85739 219 21   9.59%  
           
85741 176 33   18.75%  
           
85742 270 35   12.96%  
           
85743 361 50   13.85%  
           
85745 321 36   11.21%  
           
85746 280 40   14.29%  
           
85747 206 40   19.42%  
           
85748 131 16   12.21%  
           
85749 221 18   8.14%  
           
85750 314 30   9.55%  
           
85755 275 28   10.18%  
           
85757 138 21   15.22%  
           

    Readers can further parse and analyze the MLS numbers by clicking on the resource link.

 

Resources:

http://www.tucsonrealtors.org/tar-v2/stats_august.pdf

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